Signal Radar

Russian Mortgage Market Adjusts as Subsidized Program Rates Rise to 9%

February 17, 2026 at 12:37 PM923 views

Housing Finance

The government has adjusted subsidized mortgage rates from 8% to 9% effective March 2026, reflecting budget constraints while maintaining support for new housing construction.

Market Impact

  • Total mortgage origination in 2025: 7.8 trillion rubles
  • Subsidized program share: 42% of all new mortgages
  • Average mortgage size: 4.2 million rubles
  • Average term: 23 years

Regional Variation

  • Moscow: average property price 320,000 RUB/sqm
  • St. Petersburg: 215,000 RUB/sqm
  • Kazan: 145,000 RUB/sqm
  • Novosibirsk: 118,000 RUB/sqm

Developers report a 12% decline in new project launches following the rate adjustment.

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